“绿水青山就是金山银山”实践创新基地碳汇量核算及碳排放影响因素研究:以浙江省宁海县为例

doi:10.19741/j.issn.1673-4831.2022.0096

生态与农村环境学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (8): 1002-1009.doi: 10.19741/j.issn.1673-4831.2022.0096

• 生态城市建设与碳中和专题 • 上一篇下一篇

“绿水青山就是金山银山”实践创新基地碳汇量核算及碳排放影响因素研究:以浙江省宁海县为例

纪荣婷¹, 黄言秋¹, 程虎², 陈苏娟¹, 赵志强¹, 蔡金傍¹, 刘臣炜¹, 李海东¹, 励蓉蓉³, 张龙江¹, 曾远¹

1. 生态环境部南京环境科学研究所, 江苏南京 210042;
2. 南京林业大学生物与环境学院, 江苏南京 210018;
3. 宁波市生态环境局宁海分局, 浙江宁海 315600

收稿日期:2022-02-09 出版日期:2022-08-25 发布日期:2022-08-23
通讯作者: 曾远,E-mail:zengyuan@nies.org E-mail:zengyuan@nies.org
作者简介:纪荣婷(1992-),女,安徽池州人,助理研究员,博士,主要从事区域绿色发展、碳排放管理、生态环境保护研究。E-mail:jirongting@nies.org
基金资助:
中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务专项(GYZX210101);国家重点研发计划(2018YFD1100104)

Calculation of Carbon Sink and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emission in the “Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains Are Invaluable Assets” Practice and Innovation Bases: The Case Study of Ninghai County

JI Rong-ting¹, HUANG Yan-qiu¹, CHENG Hu², CHEN Su-juan¹, ZHAO Zhi-qiang¹, CAI Jin-bang¹, LIU Chen-wei¹, LI Hai-dong¹, LI Rong-rong³, ZHANG Long-jiang¹, ZENG Yuan¹

1. Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Nanjing 210042, China;
2. College of Biology and the Environment, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210018, China;
3. Ninghai Branch, Ningbo Municipal Bureau of Ecology and Environment, Ningbo 315600, China

Received:2022-02-09 Online:2022-08-25 Published:2022-08-23

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 如何科学评估"绿水青山就是金山银山"(以下简称"两山")实践创新基地碳源碳汇的变化趋势、时空分布、影响因子,对指导新时期生态文明建设具有重要作用。以浙江省宁海县为例,基于IPCC碳排放清单,测度宁海县碳汇量与碳排放量,分析区域碳汇的空间分布规律,并基于方差分解分析探究宁海县碳排放的影响因素。结果表明,宁海县碳汇量呈现逐年增加的趋势,2003-2018年从43.91万上升至49.40万t,其中,森林碳汇量占比为88.21%~91.12%;碳源量呈现平稳-急剧上升-波动下降-保持稳定的变化趋势,由2003年的154.17万变化至2018年的508.87万t。从碳汇量的空间分布来看,宁海县县域碳汇大致呈现西部＞东南部＞北部＞中部的西高东低格局;宁海县碳排放可被社会因素、经济因素和"两山"建设驱动因素共同解释,3个因素对碳排放的共有解释度为60.86%,各因子的解释度表现为经济因素＞"两山"建设驱动因素＞社会因素。该研究为国家"两山"实践创新基地的碳源碳汇量核算提供了新思路,可为下一步政策制定和县域绿色发展提供参考。

关键词: 绿水青山就是金山银山实践创新基地, 碳汇, 碳排放, 空间分布, 影响因素, 宁海县

Abstract: Scientifically evaluate the changing trend, temporal and spatial distributions and influencing factors of carbon (C) sinks in the "Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains are Invaluable Assets" practice and innovation bases plays an important role in guiding the construction of ecological civilization in the new era. Taking Ninghai County in Zhejiang Province as an example, this study measured C sinks and emissions in Ninghai County based on the IPCC C emission inventory, explored the spatial distribution of regional C sinks, and analyzed the influencing factors of C emissions in Ninghai County based on variance decomposition analysis. The results show that during the study period the C sink in Ninghai County showed a trend of increasing year by year, from 43.91×10⁴ t in 2003 to 49.40×10⁴ t in 2018, of which the forest C sink accounted for 88.21%-91.12%; the C source maintained stable during 2003 to 2006 and then increased sharply from 2007 to 2011, followed by a post-volatility decline and finally a stable trend, changing from 154.17×10⁴ t in 2003 to 508.87×10⁴ t in 2018. From the perspective of the spatial distribution of C sinks, the county-level C sinks in Ninghai County roughly showed a pattern of "west high and east low":"west > southeast > north > central"; C emissions in Ninghai County could be jointly explained by social factors, economic factors and "Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains are Invaluable Assets" construction driving factors, and the total explanation degree of these three factors was 60.86%, of which economic factors > "Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains are Invaluable Assets" construction driving factors > social factors. This research provides new ideas for the accounting of C sources and C sinks in the national "Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains are Invaluable Assets" practice and innovation bases, as well as provides a reference for the future policy formulation and green development for the county.

Key words: Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains are Invaluable Assets practice and innovation base, carbon sink, carbon emission, spatial distribution, influencing factors, Ninghai County

中图分类号:

X823.2

纪荣婷, 黄言秋, 程虎, 陈苏娟, 赵志强, 蔡金傍, 刘臣炜, 李海东, 励蓉蓉, 张龙江, 曾远. “绿水青山就是金山银山”实践创新基地碳汇量核算及碳排放影响因素研究:以浙江省宁海县为例[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2022, 38(8): 1002-1009.

JI Rong-ting, HUANG Yan-qiu, CHENG Hu, CHEN Su-juan, ZHAO Zhi-qiang, CAI Jin-bang, LIU Chen-wei, LI Hai-dong, LI Rong-rong, ZHANG Long-jiang, ZENG Yuan. Calculation of Carbon Sink and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emission in the “Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains Are Invaluable Assets” Practice and Innovation Bases: The Case Study of Ninghai County[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2022, 38(8): 1002-1009.

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“绿水青山就是金山银山”实践创新基地碳汇量核算及碳排放影响因素研究:以浙江省宁海县为例

Calculation of Carbon Sink and Influencing Factors of Carbon Emission in the “Lucid Waters and Lush Mountains Are Invaluable Assets” Practice and Innovation Bases: The Case Study of Ninghai County

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