生态与农村环境学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (7): 862-869.doi: 10.19741/j.issn.1673-4831.2019.0517

• 区域环境与发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于机器学习的武汉城市圈土地生态安全格局识别与优化策略

黄烈佳, 杨鹏   

  1. 湖北大学商学院, 湖北 武汉 430062
  • 收稿日期:2019-07-04 出版日期:2020-07-25 发布日期:2020-07-18
  • 通讯作者: 杨鹏 E-mail:Elliotppy@qq.com
  • 作者简介:黄烈佳(1978-),女,贵州松桃人,副教授,博士,主要研究方向为土地保护、土地资源经济。E-mail:huangliejia@hubu.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403083)

Identification and Optimization of Land Ecological Security Pattern in Wuhan Metropolitan Area Based on Machine Learning.

HUANG Lie-jia, YANG Peng   

  1. School of Business, Hubei University, Wuhan 430062, China
  • Received:2019-07-04 Online:2020-07-25 Published:2020-07-18

摘要: 为明晰武汉城市圈土地生态安全格局,从经济、社会和自然3个维度构建土地生态安全评价体系,在机器学习框架Keras中利用BP神经网络对2010-2017年武汉城市圈土地生态安全水平进行评价,在此基础上,利用ArcGIS软件对评价结果进行空间识别,并提出相应土地生态安全优化策略。结果表明:(1)2010-2017年武汉城市圈土地生态安全水平小幅下降,长期处于临界安全状态,其中土地自然生态安全状况不断恶化,土地经济生态安全状况持续改善,土地社会生态安全水平增减变化差异较大。(2)武汉城市圈土地生态安全变化存在明显空间差异,土地自然生态安全水平下降较大区域主要集中在西部和南部;黄冈和黄石土地经济生态安全水平小幅下降,其他城市安全水平均有不同程度上升;土地社会生态安全水平变化较大,武汉和潜江上升1个安全等级,仙桃和孝感下降1个安全等级,咸宁下降2个安全等级。(3)研究区土地自然生态安全状况恶化的主要原因为人均耕地、耕地面积比例、森林覆盖率持续下降以及工农业废水和废弃物排放总量持续上升;土地经济生态安全状况持续改善的主要原因为工农业生产效率、居民收入和第三产业占比持续上升;土地社会生态安全系统的影响因素较多。

关键词: 土地生态安全, 机器学习, 优化策略, 武汉城市圈

Abstract: The purpose of this research is to analyze the land ecological security pattern and the influencing factors in Wuhan Metropolitan Area, and to provide comments on the regional land ecological construction and sustainable development. Based on the evaluation system of land ecological security, BP neural network in the machine learning and GIS spatial analysis method, this paper explored and identified the status of land ecological security from 2010 to 2017 in Wuhan Metropolitan Area, and to propose the optimization of land ecological security pattern. Results show that:(1) The overall level of land ecological security of Wuhan Metropolitan Area declined slightly from 2010 to 2017, and had been in a critical safe state for a long time. Among them, the status of land natural ecological security was deteriorating, the status of land economic ecological security continued to improve, and the level of land social ecological security changed differently. (2) There were obvious spatial differences in the changes of land ecological security in Wuhan Metropolitan Area:the areas where the level of land natural ecological security decreased greatly were mainly concentrated in the west and south; the level of land economic ecological security of Huanggang and Huangshi decreased slightly, and the security level of other cities increased at different degrees; the level of land social ecological security changed greatly:Wuhan and Qianjiang increased by one security level, Xiantao and Xiaogan decreased by one security level, and Xianning decreased by two security levels. (3) The main reasons for the deterioration of the land natural ecological security are that the per capita cultivated land, the proportion of cultivated land, and the forest coverage rate continue to decline, while the total discharge of industrial and agricultural wastewater and wastes continue to increase; the main reasons for the continuous improvement of land economic ecological security are that industrial and agricultural production efficiency, residents' income, and the proportion of tertiary industry continued to rise; there are many factors affecting the land social ecological security system.

Key words: land ecological security, machine learning, optimization, Wuhan Metropolitan Area

中图分类号: