平原农区农村聚落合理用地规模测算研究:以山东省禹城市为例

doi:10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2017.01.007

Abstract

Abstract:

Analysis for prediction of future scenarios of land use in rural areas and reasonable scales of land use for rural settlements is the foundation for excavating the potential of land integration and optimizing the spatial pattern of rural land use. A case study of Yucheng of Shandong Province was performed to explore reasonable scales of land use for rural settlement in the future scenario of farming becoming a part-time job for most farmers from the aspect of optimization of the ratio of cultivated land to residential land. Results show:(1) The farming income is a major factor affecting the income of a farm household, and to predict a reasonable scale of land use for rural settlement, it is necessary to take into account comprehensively the scale of cultivated land in the region studied; (2) The current ratio of cultivated land to residential land in Yucheng is quite low or 3.9 on average and about 75% of the villages lingered in the range of 2-6, which indicates that it is essential or critical to raise or optimize the ratio; (3) In the future scenario of farming becoming a part-time job and its in-depth development, the reasonable ratios of cultivated land to residential land will be 9.95 and 15.99, respectively, and the reasonable scale of land use for rural settlement in Yucheng will be 6 638 and 4 278 hm², respectively, with the potential of reclaiming 8 121 and 10 481 hm² of vacated residential land; And (4) the study predicted that the realignment of rural settlements may expand the farmland by 55.02%-71.01% in Yucheng in 2020, but in reality, the potential depends by a large margin on development of urbanization and the strength of reformation of the land policy in the future.

Key words: land use, rural settlement, ratio of cultivated land to residential land, Yucheng City, plain agriculture

CLC Number:

GUO Lian-kai, CHEN Yu-fu. Estimation of Reasonable Scale of Rural Settlements in Plain Agricultural Areas: A Case Study of Yucheng, Shandong Province[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2017, 33(1): 47-54.

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Estimation of Reasonable Scale of Rural Settlements in Plain Agricultural Areas: A Case Study of Yucheng, Shandong Province

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