新疆农业现代化进程中的碳排放效应

doi:10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2018.01.006

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on the statistical data of the years from 1995 to 2015, carbon emission effect of the process of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang was studied using the emission coefficient method, Granger test and cointegration test. Results show:(1) Total carbon emission and carbon emissions from agricultural chemicals, agricultural mechanics and agricultural water conservancy all exhibited an apparent upward trend in the process of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang, while carbon emission intensity did a fluctuating downward one; (2) The agricultural carbon emission in Xinjiang changed significantly in structure with the agricultural modernization going on with pivot shifting from agricultural mechanics to agricultural chemicals; (3)Agricultural carbon emission varied spatially and significantly with states or cities high in population, rich in land resource and well-developed in farming like Kashi, Changji and Yili, being high in agricultural carbon emission; and (4) Agricultural economic growth was the major factor driving agricultural carbon emission upwards, showing a long standing relationship between them. Therefore, in order to push forward the process of agricultural modernization in Xinjiang, it is essential to harmonize the relationship between agricultural carbon emission and economic development, by taking a low-carbon path to agricultural modernization.

Key words: agricultural modernization, agricultural carbon emissions, granger causality test, cointegration test

CLC Number:

TANG Hong-song, LIU Wei-zhong, SU Yang, MA Hui-lan. Carbon Emission Effect of the Process of Agricultural Modernization in Xinjiang[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2018, 34(1): 46-53.

References

[1] 田云,张俊飚,李波.中国农业碳排放研究:测算、时空比较及脱钩效应[J].资源科学,2012,34(11):2097-2105.[TIAN Yun,ZHANG Jun-biao,LI Bo.Agricultural Carbon Emissions in China:Calculation,Spatial-Temporal Comparison and Decoupling Effects[J].Resources Science,2012,34(11):2097-2105.]
[2] SU M R,PAULEIT S,YIN X M,et al.Greenhouse Gas Emission Accounting for EU Member States From 1991 to 2012[J].Applied Energy,2016,184:759-768.
[3] 唐洪松,马惠兰,苏洋,等.新疆不同土地利用类型的碳排放与碳吸收[J].干旱区研究,2016,33(3):486-492.[TANG Hong-song,MA Hui-lan,SU Yang,et al.Research on Carbon Emissions and Carbon Absorption Based on Different Land Use Types of Xinjiang[J].Arid Zone Research,2016,33(3):486-492.]
[4] 李波,张俊飚,李海鹏.中国农业碳排放与经济发展的实证研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2011,25(12):8-13.[LI Bo,ZHANG Jun-biao,LI Hai-peng.Empirical Study on China's Agriculture Carbon Emissions and Economic Development[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2011,25(12):8-13.]
[5] LIDDLE B.What Are the Carbon Emissions Elasticities for Income and Population? Bridging STIRPAT and EKC via Robust Heterogeneous Panel Estimates[J].Global Environmental Change,2015,31:62-73.
[6] 颜廷武,田云,张俊飚,等.中国农业碳排放拐点变动及时空分异研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(11):1-8.[YAN Ting-wu,TIAN Yun,ZHANG Jun-biao,et al.Research on Inflection Point Change and Spatial and Temporal Variation of China's Agricultural Carbon Emissions[J].China Population,Resources and Environment,2014,24(11):1-8.]
[7] 李立,周灿,李二玲,等.基于投入视角的黄淮海平原农业碳排放与经济发展脱钩研究[J].生态与农村环境学报,2013,29(5):551-558.[LI Li,ZHOU Can,LI Er-ling,et al.Decoupling Analysis of Agricultural Carbon Emission and Economic Development From an Input Perspective:A Case Study of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain[J].Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment,2013,29(5):551-558.]
[8] NAQVI A,ZWICKL K.Fifty Shades of Green:Revisiting Decoupling by Economic Sectors and Air Pollutants[J].Ecological Economics,2017,133:111-126.
[9] 吴贤荣,张俊飚,田云,等.中国省域农业碳排放:测算、效率变动及影响因素研究:基于DEA-Malmquist指数分解方法与Tobit模型运用[J].资源科学,2014,36(1):129-138.[WU Xian-rong,ZHANG Jun-biao,TIAN Yun,et al.Provincial Agricultural Carbon Emissions in China:Calculation,Performance Change and Influencing Factors[J].Resources Science,2014,36(1):129-138.
[10] 张广胜,王珊珊.中国农业碳排放的结构、效率及其决定机制[J].农业经济问题,2014(7):18-26,110.[ZHANG Guang-sheng,WANG Shan-shan.The Structure,Efficiency and Decision Mechanism of Agricultural Carbon Emissions in China[J].Issues in Agricultural Economy,2014(7):18-26,110.]
[11] 吴贤荣,张俊飚,朱烨,等.中国省域低碳农业绩效评估及边际减排成本分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2014,24(10):57-63.[WU Xian-rong,ZHANG Jun-biao,ZHU Ye,et al.Evaluation of Provincial Low-Carbon Agriculture Performance and Estimation of Marginal Abatement Costs in China[J].China Population,Resources and Environment,2014,24(10):57-63.]
[12] 王珊珊,张广胜.中国低碳农业生产方式的实现路径与评价[J].生态经济,2012(3):28-32.[WANG Shan-shan,ZHANG Guang-sheng.Achieving Path and Evaluation of Law Carbon Agricultural Production Mode in China[J].Ecological Economy,2012(3):28-32.]
[13] WEST T O,MARLAND G.A Synthesis of Carbon Sequestration,Carbon Emissions,and Net Carbon Flux in Agriculture:Comparing Tillage Practices in the United States[J].Agriculture Ecosystems & Environment,2002,91(1/2/3):217-232.
[14] 陈阜.我国农作物栽培与耕作制度科技新进展[J].耕作与栽培,2001(6):1-2,36.[CHEN Bu.New Advances in Crop Cultivation and Cropping System in China[J].Tillage and Cultivation,2001(6):1-2,36.]
[15] 马涛.上海农业碳源碳汇现状评估及增加碳汇潜力分析[J].农业环境与发展,2011,28(5):38-41.[MA Tao.Assessment of Carbon Source Carbon Sink and Analysis of Potential for Increasing Carbon Sequestration in Shanghai[J].Agro-Environment and Development,2011,28(5):38-41.]
[16] 段华平,张悦,赵建波,等.中国农田生态系统的碳足迹分析[J].水土保持学报,2011,25(5):203-208.[DUAN Hua-ping,ZHANG Yue,ZHAO Jian-bo,et al.Carbon Footprint Analysis of Farmland Ecosystem in China[J].Journal of Soil and Water Conservation,2011,25(5):203-208.]

Carbon Emission Effect of the Process of Agricultural Modernization in Xinjiang

PDF (PC)

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 2

Recommended Articles

Metrics

Comments

[1]	WEI Qin, QU Jian-sheng, BAI Jing, LI Heng-ji, LIU Li-na, XU Li. Influencing Factors of Agricultural Carbon Emission and Regional Differences Between South and North in China [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2018, 34(4): 318-325.
[2]	LI Li, ZHOU Can, LI Er-Ling, LI Xiao-Jian. Decoupling Analysis of Agricultural Carbon Emission and Economic Development From An Input Perspective：A Case Study of Huang-Huai-Hai Plain [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2013, 29(5): 551-558.