1961-2016年松嫩平原月尺度下水分盈亏态势时空分异特征

    Spatial and Temporal Variations of the Water Loss and Gain Status at the Monthly Scale in Songnen Plain From 1961 to 2016

    • 摘要: 气候变暖背景下,如何精确分析农业生态系统水分盈亏态势是当前我国面临的一个非常现实和重要的问题。为掌握月尺度下松嫩平原水分盈亏情况,以遥感数据、长时间序列气象数据和土壤数据等为基础,运用水分盈亏模型,采用趋势分析和小波分析等方法,探析了松嫩平原1961-2016年作物生长周期(5-9月)内各月的水分盈亏态势时空分异特征。结果表明:(1)1961-2016年松嫩平原作物生长周期内的平均潜在蒸散量为432.8~605.8 mm,其总体变化趋势为-0.51 mm·a-1,5-9月的变化趋势分别为-0.27、-0.16、-0.09、-0.03和0.02 mm·a-1;(2)研究区域5-6月水分亏缺情况最严重,高值区域主要位于松嫩平原的中西部,发生频率在30%~50%之间,其次为9月,高值区位于北部偏东区域,发生频率在20%~30%之间,7-8月水分亏缺态势最轻微;(3)从水分盈亏态势周期规律和变化趋势来看,各月在15 a的时间尺度上呈现明显的周期性变化,其中5-7月水分盈亏态势呈现周期振荡下降趋势,8-9月水分盈亏态势呈上升趋势。

       

      Abstract: Under the background of climate warming, it is a very realistic and important issue facing China that how to accurately analyze the water loss and gain status of agricultural ecosystems. In order to explore the water loss and gain status at the monthly scale in Songnen Plain, remote sensing data, long-time series meteorological data and soil data were used as base date. In this study, water loss and gain models, trend analysis and wavelet analysis were employed to analyze the spatial and temporal variations of water loss and gain status of Songnen Plain in each month of the crop growth cycle (May to September) from 1961 to 2016. The results show that: (1) From 1961 to 2016, the average potential evapotranspiration during the crop growth cycle was between 432.8 and 605.8 mm in Songnen Plain, and its general variation trend was -0.51 mm·a-1. The monthly variation trends from May to September were -0.27, -0.16, -0.09, -0.03 and 0.02 mm·a-1, respectively. (2) The water deficit in the study area was most severe in May and June. The areas with high water deficit were mainly located in the central and western parts of the Songnen Plain, with frequencies between 30% and 50%. The second serious occurred in September, and the areas with high water deficit were located in the northeast, and its frequency was between 20% and 30%. The water deficit was lightest in July and August. (3) According to the periodic regularity and change trend of water loss and gain status, each month showed a clear periodic change on the time scale of 15 years. In addition, from May to July the water loss and gain status showed a periodic downward trend, while for August and September the water loss and gain status showed an upward trend.

       

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