我国农业对全球变暖的敏感性和脆弱性

    The sensitivily and vulnerability of China’s agriculture to global warming

    • 摘要: 未来40~60年内,人类活动将增大CO、CH、CFC和NO等温室气体的排放,从而导致全球平均气温升高1~3℃。本文从我国农业和气候变化的趋势入手,分析了时全球变暖影响的敏感区和脆弱区,提出了适应对策并估算新增的投资和效益。

       

      Abstract: In the next four to six decades, enhanced emissions of the greenhouse gases:carbon dioxide, methane, chloroflorocarbon and nitrogen oxide rexulting from human activities will increase the global mean surface temperature by 1- 3℃. According to the current trend of agricultural and climaticchanges in China, six sensitive agricultural areas and five regions with high vulnerability to the global warming impacts areindentified, In the meantime, adapted countermeasures are prodosed in consideration of the incremental cost and benefitcaused by global warming.

       

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