南京南郊马尾松种群动态及种内竞争模型的应用

Dynamics of Pinus massoniana Population in Southern Suburbs of Nanjing and Application of Intraspecific Competition Model

  • 摘要: 通过对南京南郊马尾松(Pinus massoniana)种群年龄结构的统计,绘制该种群的静态生命表。结果表明,该马尾松种群年龄结构属衰退型;存活曲线为凸形曲线,属Deevey-A型;死亡率和消失率变化规律一致,均在第11龄级(47~49 a)时取得极大值,分别达0.625和0.981。对群落Hegyi竞争指数的计算表明,种内竞争是马尾松种群衰退的主要原因:种内竞争指数占总竞争指数的85.8%,种内平均单木竞争指数为1.71,而种间竞争指数仅占总竞争指数的14.2%。非线性回归结果表明,用林振山种内竞争模型拟合南京南郊马尾松种群数量的衰退规律可以达到较高优度,判定系数为0.759,此地马尾松种群固有出生率为0.105,环境对马尾松的最大容量为31株·(400 m2)-1。模型稳定性分析表明,马尾松种群虽然处于衰退阶段,但种群不会退出该地区,并将在未来很长时间保持群落优势种的地位,种群密度最终将衰退至9.396株·(400 m2)-1的稳定状态。

     

    Abstract: A static life chart of the Pinus massoniana population in the southern suburb of Nanjing was plotted through collecting statistics of ages of the trees in the population. Results show that the population is of a declining type in age structure and its survival curve is a convex one of Deevey-A type, while its mortality rate and disappearance rate varies similarly reaching as high as 0.625 and 0.981 in the eleventh age class(47-49 a) respectively. Calculation of the Hegyi competition index indicates that intraspecific competition is the main cause leading to decline of the population, with index amounting to 85.8% of the total competition index. The average intraspecific single-tree competition index of the population is 1.71, while its interspecific competition amounts only to 14.2% of the total. SPSS nonlinear regression shows that LIN Zhenshan's intraspecific competition model can be used to fit the declining tendency of the P. massoniana population, with high goodness and determination coefficient being 0.759. The inherent natality of the P. massoniana population is 0.105, and the highest environmental capacity for P. massoniana in this area is 31(400 m2)-1. Model stability analysis indicates that though the P. massoniana population in the southern suburb of Nanjing is declining, it won't extinct in this area, and will remain to be the dominant species in the community for a long time in future, however, its population density will keep on declining and level off at 9.396(400 m2)-1.

     

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