生物多样性风险评估方法和案例研究

    Biodiversity Risk Assessment: Methods and Case Study

    • 摘要: 界定了生物多样性风险,分析了其来源,提出了建立生物多样性风险评估指标体系的原则和层次,并构建了评估指标体系。以全国2 376个县级行政单元为研究区域,评价了其生物多样性风险。结果表明,风险值R介于0.005 9 与0.828 3之间,大部分地区的R值低于0.3。高风险区域的R值大于0.329 1,分布于广西、云南和四川等地;低风险区域的R值小于0.056 8,主要位于内蒙古、山西和陕西等地;中等风险区域主要位于东北和华北地区。在生物多样性最丰富的地区(现状值TS≥0.295 8),仍然有38个县域单元的风险仅为中等,这主要是由于较大的自然保护区面积和较小的压力所致,其平均响应值ER和压力值RP分别为0.290 6和0.142 3。在生物多样性最贫乏的地区(TS≤0.050 2),尽管有22个单元的RP值较高(平均为0.470 4)以及145个单元的自然保护区面积为0,但总体风险并不高,其平均R值分别为0.057 0和0.048 1。

       

      Abstract: Attempts were made to define biodiversity risks, analyze their sources, work out principles and hierarchy for establishment of a biodiversity risk assessment index system and then to build up the system. Biodiversity risk assessment was performed of 2376 county-level administrative units, all over China. Results show that generally R (risk value) varies in the range between 0.0059 and 0.8283, and is less than 0.3 in most areas. High risk areas are located mostly in Guangxi, Yunnan, Sichuan, etc., with R being higher than 0.3291, while low risk areas are distributed mainly in Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, Shaanxi, etc., with R being lower than 0.0568, and moderate risk areas in Northeast China and North China. In the areas, the most abundant in biodiversity (TS≥0.2958), there are still 38 county-level units moderate in R, owing mainly to the greater area of nature reserves and smaller pressure, with average ER being 0.2906, and average RP being 0.1423. However, in the areas, the poorest in biodiversity (TS≤0.0502), although there are 22 units with RP being quite high and with 0.4704 on average and 145 units that do not have any nature reserve, while as a whole their R are not so high, with average being 0.0570 and 0.0481, respectively.

       

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