我国畜牧业绿色全要素生产率时空差异及影响因素研究
Temporal and Spatial Differences and Influencing Factors of Green Total Factor Productivity of Animal Husbandry in China
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摘要: 通过构建投入产出体系, 采用基于非导向、规模报酬可变的超效率EBM模型和GML指数对2011—2020年我国31个省(区、市)畜牧业绿色全要素生产率进行测度及分析, 在此基础上采用Dagum基尼系数和核密度估计方法探究区域差异和动态演进, 并采用固定效应模型和Driscoll-Kraay标准差估计方法检验畜牧业绿色全要素生产率的影响因素。结果表明, 2011—2020年我国畜牧业绿色全要素生产率总体水平偏低, 且呈现"东北-东-中-西"依次递减的梯度格局, 绿色技术进步是拉动我国畜牧业绿色全要素生产率的主要驱动力; 畜牧业绿色全要素生产率区域差异呈持续上升趋势且具有极化现象和梯度效应, 区域差异是畜牧业绿色全要素生产率地区差异的主要来源, 东部与西部之间区域差异最大, 东北与中部之间区域差异最小; 就影响因素而言, 产业集聚、财政支农水平和人均GDP对我国畜牧业绿色全要素生产率呈显著负向影响, 交通通达对我国畜牧业绿色全要素生产率呈显著正向影响。研究结果可为推动中国畜牧业绿色发展提供参考。Abstract: In this study, by constructing an input-output system, we used a super-efficiency epsilon-based measure (EBM) model based on non-oriented scores and variable returns to scale, and a global Malmquist-Luenberger (GML) index to measure and analyze the green total factor productivity (GTFP) of animal husbandry in 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020. On this basis, Dagum's Gini coefficient decomposition and kernel density estimation methods were used to explore the regional differences and dynamic evolution of the GTFP of animal husbandry, and the fixed-effect model and Driscoll-Kraay standard error estimators were used to test its influencing factors. The results show that the overall level of the GTFP of animal husbandry in China from 2011 to 2020 was low, and it showed a decreasing gradient pattern of 'northeast-east-central-west'. Sustainable technological progress was the main driving force of regional and national GTFP of animal husbandry in China; the regional difference showed a continuous upward trend with a polarization phenomenon and gradient effect. Interregional difference was the main source of regional differences in the GTFP of animal husbandry; the difference between eastern and western regions was the largest, and the difference between northeast and central regions was the smallest. In terms of influencing factors, industrial agglomeration, financial support for agriculture, and per capita GDP had significant negative effect on China's animal husbandry GTFP, and transport accessibility had a significant positive effect. The results of this study provide a basis for the promotion of sustainable development of animal husbandry in China.
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