甘南黄河水源补给区生态系统服务供需关系时空变化研究

Spatiotemporal Changes of Supply and Demand Relationship of Ecosystem Services in the Yellow River Water Supply Area of Gannan

  • 摘要: 甘南黄河水源补给区作为黄河上游关键的生态屏障, 具有不可替代的高原湿地水源涵养功能和水土保持功能, 对黄河上游生态系统的稳定与平衡起着不可或缺的作用。厘清甘南黄河水源补给区生态系统服务供求关系, 是实现黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展重大国家战略的关键。本研究应用InVEST模型、ArcGIS等工具, 从水源涵养、土壤保持、食物供给和碳固存等方面, 系统分析了2000-2020年甘南黄河水源补给区生态系统服务的供需量及其匹配关系的时空变化。结果表明: (1)在时间维度上, 甘南黄河水源补给区各项生态系统服务的供给量和需求量均呈增长趋势, 各项生态系统服务总供给量始终高于总需求量。在空间维度上, 供给与需求服务存在较强的异质性: 水源涵养与土壤保持服务供给量呈"西南高、东北低"的分布特征, 食物供给与碳固存服务供给量呈"北高南低"的分布态势。除土壤保持服务外, 其余各项生态系统服务需求量均呈"东北高、西南低"的分布特点。(2)随着时间的推移, 水源涵养与食物供给服务供需比呈上升趋势, 土壤保持和碳固存服务供需比呈下降趋势。水源涵养、食物供给及碳固存服务始终保持供大于求的状态, 且供给量>需求量的区域趋于扩张; 土壤保持服务存在供不应求态势, 供给量<需求量的区域趋于扩张。(3)土壤保持服务供需空间以低-高空间错配区为主, 水源涵养服务和食物供给服务供需空间以高-低空间错配区为主, 碳固存服务供需空间以低-低空间匹配区为主。本研究提出的生态保护对策建议: 供需空间的高-高空间匹配区应在保护现有生态资源的基础上优化土地利用结构, 提升生态经济效益; 供需空间的高-低空间错配区应推进退化草原治理, 发展生态畜牧业和旅游, 促进生态与经济协调发展; 供需空间的低-高空间错配区应加强土地集约化利用, 发展现代农业, 提高低值地利用效益; 供需空间的低-低空间匹配区应优先恢复自然生态系统, 强化保护并规范人类活动, 提升区域可持续发展潜力。

     

    Abstract: The Yellow River water supply area in Gannan functions as a critical ecological barrier in the upper reaches of the river, playing an irreplaceable role in water conservation and soil retention within highland wetlands, and playing an indispensable role in maintaining the stability and balance of the upper Yellow River ecosystem. Clarifying the supply-demand relationships of ecosystem services (ESs) in this region is essential for achieving the national strategy of "Ecological Protection and High-quality Development of the Yellow River Basin". This study employs the InVEST model and ArcGIS to systematically examine the spatiotemporal dynamics of ecosystem service supply, demand, and their matching patterns in the Gannan water supply area from the year 2000 to 2020, with a focus on water conservation, soil retention, food provision, and carbon sequestration. The results show that: (1) In the temporal dimension, both supply and demand of all ESs increased, with supply consistently exceeding demand. In the spatial dimension, clear heterogeneity was observed. Water conservation and soil retention services exhibited a "southwest high-northeast low" distribution, whereas food provision and carbon sequestration showed a "north high-south low" pattern. Except for soil retention, the demand for ESs followed a "northeast high-southwest low" distribution. (2) The supply-demand ratio of water conservation and food provision increased over time, while that of soil retention and carbon sequestration declined. Water conservation, food provision, and carbon sequestration remained in a surplus state, with expanding of areas of supply exceeding demand; by contrast, soil retention persistently exhibited a deficit, and the areas where demand outpaced supply continued to expand. (3) Spatial matching analysis indicate that soil retention was dominated by low-supply-high-demand mismatch areas, water conservation and food provision by high-supply-low-demand mismatch areas, and carbon sequestration by low-supply-low-demand matching areas. Targeted management strategies are proposed for different matching types: in high-high areas, the focus should be on optimizing land-use structure, enhancing ecological and economic benefits, and safeguarding existing resources; high-low mismatch areas should prioritize degraded grassland restoration, promote ecological animal husbandry and tourism, and foster eco-economic coordination; low-high mismatch areas should strengthen intensive land use, develop modern agriculture, and improve land-use efficiency; and low-low matching areas should prioritize natural ecosystem restoration, strengthen protection, and regulate human activities to enhance sustainable development potential.

     

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