基于kNDVI的山东省植被时空分异及其对气候因子的响应

Spatio-temporal Differentiation of Vegetation in Shandong Province Based on kNDVI and Its Response to Climate Factors

  • 摘要: 探究植被生长动态时空格局及其对气候因子的响应机制, 对维护生态系统稳定性至关重要。基于2000—2022年核归一化差异植被指数(kNDVI), 采用集合经验模态分解、岭回归分析等方法, 解析山东省kNDVI的时空格局及其对气候因子(气温、降水)的空间响应特征。结果表明: 山东省植被kNDVI在2000—2022年显著改善, 全域kNDVI呈长期性上升趋势(显著上升的区域面积占63.97%), 且具有0.1、0.5和1 a的波动周期。春季和秋季的kNDVI上升尤为突出, 夏季和生长季改善相对较弱。kNDVI对气候因子的响应特征呈明显的季节性和地域性差异。生长季气温对kNDVI的贡献高于降水, 春季气温和降水对kNDVI的正向反馈最强。从空间分布看, 春季东部和北部地区kNDVI主要受气温驱动, 其他地区以降水驱动为主; 夏季和秋季降水成为kNDVI的决定因素, 此时东部和北部地区主要受降水影响, 西南部仍以气温驱动为主。该研究为理解山东省植被动态及其与气候因子的关系提供了科学依据, 有助于制定区域生态管理和气候适应策略。

     

    Abstract: Investigating the spatio-temporal patterns of vegetation growth dynamics and their response mechanisms to climatic factors is crucial for maintaining ecosystem stability. Based on the kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (kNDVI) from 2000 to 2022, this study analyzed the spatiotemporal patterns of kNDVI in Shandong Province and its spatial response characteristics to climatic factors (temperature and precipitation) using methods such as Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) and Ridge Regression Analysis. The results show that vegetation kNDVI in Shandong Province improved significantly during 2000 to 2022, with a long-term upward trend across the entire region with 63.97% of the area exhibited a significant increase and fluctuation cycles of 0.1, 0.5, and 1 a. The increase of kNDVI was particularly prominent in spring and autumn, while summer and the growing season showed relatively weaker improvements. The response of kNDVI to climatic factors showed distinct seasonal and regional differences. During the growing season, temperature contributed more to kNDVI than precipitation, and spring temperature and precipitation showing the strongest positive feedback. Spatially, spring kNDVI in eastern and northern regions was primarily driven by temperature, while precipitation dominated in other areas. During summer and autumn, precipitation became the determining factor for kNDVI, with eastern and northern regions mainly influenced by precipitation, while southwestern areas mainly remained temperature-driven. This study provides a scientific basis for understanding vegetation dynamics in Shandong Province and their relationship with climatic factors, supporting the formulation of regional ecological management and climate adaptation strategies.

     

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