安徽省人为源挥发性有机物排放清单建立及臭氧生成潜势评估

Establishment of Anthropogenic Volatile Organic Compounds Emission Inventory and Assessment of Ozone Formation Potential in Anhui Province

  • 摘要: 为揭示安徽省挥发性有机物(VOCs)关键活性物种、排放源特征及城市分布特征,利用排放因子法编制了安徽省2021年人为源高分辨率VOCs排放清单,并对VOCs的时空分布特征和不确定性进行了分析。基于建立的VOCs源成分谱编制了VOCs组分排放清单,系统研究了安徽省人为源VOCs排放特征和臭氧生成潜势(OFP)。结果表明:安徽省2021年人为源VOCs排放量为526.2 kt;对VOCs贡献最大的源是工艺过程源(34.21%);排放量较高的组分是芳香烃、烷烃和含氧VOCs,其中芳香烃和含氧VOCs主要来自溶剂使用源,烷烃主要来自工艺过程源。安徽省VOCs的OFP总量为1 822.9 kt,芳香烃和工艺过程源分别是OFP排放最大的贡献组分和贡献源。其中对-二甲苯、乙烯、丙烯和甲醛是对OFP贡献显著的物种,合计贡献率为41.54%。VOCs排放的高值区域主要分布在合肥市、安徽省中北部和东部沿江工业带,合肥市和芜湖市VOCs的OFP均高于其他城市。VOCs排放总量的不确定性范围为-25.69%~37.34%,不确定性较高的源为生物质燃烧源和移动源。通过不确定性分析和其他省份清单比较结果可得出,本研究编制的排放清单具有一定的合理性。

     

    Abstract: To reveal the key reactive species, emission source characteristics, and spatial distribution of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in Anhui Province, a high-resolution anthropogenic VOCs emission inventory for the year 2021 was developed using the emission factor method. The temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and uncertainties of VOCs were also analyzed. Based on the established VOCs source profiles, a VOC species-based emission inventory was constructed, and the emission characteristics of anthropogenic VOCs along with their ozone formation potential (OFP) in Anhui Province were systematically investigated. The total anthropogenic VOC emissions in Anhui Province for 2021 reached 526.2 kt. The largest contributing source was industrial processes (34.21%). The components with higher emissions included aromatics, alkanes, and oxygenated VOCs. Among these, aromatics and oxygenated VOCs primarily originated from solvent use, while alkanes were mainly derived from industrial processes. The total OFP of VOCs in Anhui Province reached 1 822.9 kt. Aromatics were the most significant contributor among VOC groups, while industrial processes constituted the largest contributing source to OFP. Among individual species, p-xylene, ethylene, propylene and formaldehyde were identified as the most influential species to OFP, collectively accounting for 41.54% of the total. Spatially, high VOC emissions were primarily distributed in Hefei City, the central-northern region of the province, and the industrial zones along the Yangtze River in eastern Anhui. Both Hefei and Wuhu Cities exhibited higher OFP levels compared to other cities. The uncertainty range for total VOC emissions was estimated between -25.69% and 37.34%, with biomass burning and mobile sources showing higher uncertainties. Uncertainty analysis and inter-inventory comparisons demonstrate that the emission inventory developed in this study is reasonably reliable.

     

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