基于夜间灯光和社会经济数据的城市扩张协调性研究

Research on the Coordination of Urban Expansion Based on Night Lights and Socio-economic Data

  • 摘要: 近几年,随着城市迅速扩张,其协调性成为限制城市发展的重要因素。选择2015和2019年江苏省72个县级单元夜间灯光数据和社会经济数据,采用空间自相关模型和四元协调度模型分析城镇人口、GDP、夜间灯光和建设用地的空间集聚情况,揭示近年来江苏省城市扩张协调性。结果表明,(1)城镇人口、二三产业产值、建设用地和夜间灯光呈现出明显的空间集聚特征,主要集聚状态出现在江苏南部区域。(2)在72个县级区域中,10%的区域土地城镇化增长速率小于人口城镇化,其他90%的区域土地城镇化增长速率大于人口城镇化。整体来看,全域土地城镇化速率快于人口城镇化。另外,约30%的区域土地城镇化增长速率高于经济,约70%的区域土地城镇化增长速率低于经济。整体而言,大部分区域用地效率良好,属于有序扩张。(3)从经济-人口-夜间灯光-建筑用地的协调度来看,2015和2019年95%的县级区域处于协调发展状态。对比2个年份可知,江苏省40%的区域协调度处于增长趋势,其他60%的区域协调度处于下降趋势。研究结果可为江苏省优化城市扩张,促进区域健康、协调的可持续发展提供思路。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, the coordination of rapid urbanization has become an important factor that may restrict urban development. This study selected the night lighting data and socio-economic data of 72 county-level administration units in Jiangsu Province in 2015 and 2019. The spatial autocorrelation model and quaternary coordination model were selected to analyze the spatial agglomeration status of urban population, GDP, night lights, and construction land, which revealed the coordination status of urban expansion in Jiangsu Province. The results show that: (1) Urban population, secondary and tertiary industries, construction land and night lights showed obvious spatial agglomeration characteristics, and the main agglomeration area is in southern Jiangsu; (2) Land urbanization was faster than population urbanization in 90% of the area of Jiangsu Province, only 10% of the area with land urbanization slower than population urbanization. Meanwhile, about 30% of the regional land urbanization was faster than the economic growth, and about 70% of the regional land urbanization was slower than the economic growth. (3) From the perspective of the coordination degree of economy, population, night lighting and construction land, 95% of the regions were in the coordinated development in 2015 and 2019. Comparing these two periods, 40% of the regional coordination degree of Jiangsu Province was increasing, and the remaining 60% was decreasing. These results can provide optimized ideas for urban expansion of Jiangsu Province in the future, promote the healthy, coordinated and sustainable development of the region, and provide references for coordinated urban expansion in other provinces.

     

/

返回文章
返回