2008年以来湖南省碳排放重心与经济发展重心演变及其相关分析

doi:10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2017.09.004

生态与农村环境学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (9): 792-799.doi: 10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2017.09.004

2008年以来湖南省碳排放重心与经济发展重心演变及其相关分析

刘贤赵, 高长春, 韩用顺, 陈新保, 张勇, 宋焱

湖南科技大学资源环境与安全工程学院, 湖南湘潭 411201

收稿日期:2016-11-15 出版日期:2017-09-25 发布日期:2017-09-25
通讯作者: 刘贤赵,xianzhaoliu@sina.com E-mail:xianzhaoliu@sina.com
作者简介:刘贤赵(1970-),男,湖南隆回人,教授,博士,主要研究方向为气候环境演变与碳氮循环。E-mail:xianzhaoliu@sina.com
基金资助:
教育部人文社科项目（14YJAZH050）；湖南省社会科学基金（14YBA170）；湖南省研究生科研创新项目（CX2016B542）

Variations of Focus of Carbon Emission and Foci of Economy Development in Hunan Province Since 2008 and Their Correlation Analysis.

LIU Xian-zhao, GAO Chang-chun, HAN Yong-shun, CHEN Xin-bao, ZHANG Yong, SONG Yan

School of Resource, Environment and Safety Engineering, Hunan University of Science and Technology, Xiangtan 411201, China

Received:2016-11-15 Online:2017-09-25 Published:2017-09-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

依据2008-2014年湖南省各市域终端能源消费数据和经济发展数据，基于重心模型估算湖南省各年碳排放重心和经济发展重心坐标，从演变路径、移动方向、移动距离和空间相关性等多角度对比分析湖南省碳排放重心与经济发展重心的动态轨迹及其空间联系。结果表明，以湖南省几何中心为参照，碳排放重心大体呈东西狭长型分布，且全部位于区域东部；经济发展重心大体呈团聚状分布，也全部位于区域东北部。经济发展重心与碳排放重心的移动轨迹具有明显的阶段性，但各阶段两者在经、纬度方向上的相关性不显著，且前者移动轨迹较为简单明晰。碳排放重心整体向西北移动，经济发展重心总体向西南移动，两者的偏移主要发生在东西方向上，且经济发展重心的变化比碳排放重心剧烈，南北方向上碳排放重心与经济发展重心的空间格局趋于均衡，说明来自东西方向上的经济发展与碳排放变动产生的驱动力是造成湖南省整体碳排放与经济发展不均衡的主要原因。湖南省各市域碳排放与经济发展关系的表现形式以及相互作用的强弱存在较大差异，表明经济增长对不同地区碳排放增长的效应并不相同。

关键词: 重心模型, 碳排放重心, 经济发展重心, 湖南省

Abstract:

Based on the data of end-point energy consumption and economic development of 14 cities in Hunan Province from 2008 to 2014, a focus model was used to work out coordinates of the focus of carbon emission (FCE) and foci of the economy development (FED) for analysis of dynamics of FCE and FED from the angle of evolvement path, direction of the move, distance of the move and spatial correlation. Results show that:With the geometric center of Hunan Province as reference, FCE appeared to be a long strip going from east to west in the eastern part of the province, while FED did in coacervate in the northeastern part of the province; Both FCE and FED moved apparently by stage, but they did not have much correlation between the two either longitudinally or latitudinally; However, the move of the former was relatively simple and explicit in trajectory; FCE as a whole moved northwestwardly, while FED did southwestwardly. Deviation of the two occurred mainly latitudinally, and FED varied more drastically than FCE mainly longitudinally, but the two tended to be balanced in spatial distribution, which suggested that the imbalance between economic development and carbon emission in the province is mainly caused by the laltitudinal movement of FCE and FED; The manifestation of the relationships between carbon emission and economic development and their interaction varied sharply between cities in Hunan, indicating that the effect of economic growth on carbon emissions varied with region.

Key words: focus model, focus of carbon emission, focus of economic development, Hunan Province

中图分类号:

刘贤赵, 高长春, 韩用顺, 陈新保, 张勇, 宋焱. 2008年以来湖南省碳排放重心与经济发展重心演变及其相关分析[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2017, 33(9): 792-799.

LIU Xian-zhao, GAO Chang-chun, HAN Yong-shun, CHEN Xin-bao, ZHANG Yong, SONG Yan. Variations of Focus of Carbon Emission and Foci of Economy Development in Hunan Province Since 2008 and Their Correlation Analysis.[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2017, 33(9): 792-799.

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2008年以来湖南省碳排放重心与经济发展重心演变及其相关分析

Variations of Focus of Carbon Emission and Foci of Economy Development in Hunan Province Since 2008 and Their Correlation Analysis.

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