京津冀地区资源-环境-经济协调发展模式探究

doi:10.19741/j.issn.1673-4831.2019.0958

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 促进京津冀地区资源环境与经济协调发展是京津冀协同发展的目标之一。将物质流分析方法和系统动力学结合，构建资源-环境-经济系统动力学模型，设置经济加速发展模式、惯性模式、资源环境保护模式和协调发展模式，通过不同模式的对比探寻京津冀资源-环境-经济协调发展的最优路径。结果显示：协调发展模式下各地社会经济保持较快发展，通过调整产业结构，增加环保和科技投资，提高工业固废回收利用率等措施，3地资源环境压力减轻，协调发展度提高幅度高于另外3种模式，是京津冀地区资源-环境-经济协调发展的相对最佳方案，但是河北省仍需注意化解城镇化进程中资源环境压力上升的问题。

关键词: 京津冀地区, 资源-环境-经济, 协调发展, 物质流分析, 系统动力学

Abstract: Promoting the coordinated development of resource, environment and economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region is one of the goals of the coordinated development for this region. The economy-wide material flow analysis was combined with system dynamics in this study to set up a system dynamic model of resource-environment-economic system for exploring the path of coordinated development of resource-environment-economy in this region. Economic accelerated development model, inertia development model, resource-environmental protection model and coordinated development model were set up for comparison study. The results of the study show that under the coordinated development model, the development of social economy maintains relatively fast, and the pressure on resources and environment in the region will be reduced by adjusting the industrial structure, increasing investment in environment and technology, and improving the utilization and recycling rate of industrial solid wastes. The improvement of coordinated development of this region under this model is far higher than the other three models. In conclusion, the coordinated development model is the best one for coordinated development of resource-environment-economy in this region,however, Hebei Province still needs to pay attention to resolving the rising pressure on resources and environment in the process of urbanization.

Key words: Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region, resource, environment and economy, coordinated development, material flow analysis, system dynamics

中图分类号:

X24
F062.1

戴铁军, 安佰超, 王婉君. 京津冀地区资源-环境-经济协调发展模式探究[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2020, 36(6): 731-740.

DAI Tie-jun, AN Bai-chao, WANG Wan-jun. Path Analysis of Coordinated Development of Resource, Environment and Economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2020, 36(6): 731-740.

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