1961-2013年山西省夏季旱涝急转时空演变特征

doi:10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2017.04.006

生态与农村环境学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (4): 332-340.doi: 10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2017.04.006

1961-2013年山西省夏季旱涝急转时空演变特征

刘宇峰¹, 原志华², 郭玲霞¹, 孔伟³, 张莉⁴, 吴林⁵

1. 咸阳师范学院资源环境与历史文化学院, 陕西咸阳 712000;
2. 咸阳师范学院经济与管理学院, 陕西咸阳 712000;
3. 河北北方学院生态建设与产业发展研究中心, 河北张家口 075000;
4. 陕西师范大学西北历史环境与经济社会发展研究院, 陕西西安 710062;
5. 中国科学院遗传与发育生物学研究所农业资源研究中心, 河北石家庄 050021

收稿日期:2016-05-17 出版日期:2017-04-25 发布日期:2017-04-01
通讯作者: 刘宇峰,E-mail:yfliu518@163.com E-mail:yfliu518@163.com
作者简介:刘宇峰(1981-),男,山西忻州人,讲师,博士,主要从事环境演变研究。E-mail:yfliu518@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金（41271159）；陕西省社会科学基金（2016D034）；陕西省教育厅科研项目（16JK1828）；陕西省普通高等学校优势学科建设项目（历史地理学：0602）；咸阳师范学院“青年骨干教师”计划（XSYGG201609）；咸阳师范学院教改项目（201402009）

Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Variation of Abrupt Alternation of Drought and Flood in Shanxi Province During Summers in 1961-2013

LIU Yu-feng¹, YUAN Zhi-hua², GUO Ling-xia¹, KONG Wei³, ZHANG Li⁴, WU Lin⁵

1. College of Resources and Environment & History and Culture, Xianyang Normal University, Xianyang 712000, China;
2. College of Economics and Management, Xianyang Normal University, Xianyang 712000, China;
3. Research Center of Ecological Construction and Industrial Development, Hebei North University, Zhangjiakou 075000, China;
4. Northwest Institute of Historical Environment and Socio-Economic Development, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710062, China;
5. The Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang 050021, China

Received:2016-05-17 Online:2017-04-25 Published:2017-04-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

研究旱涝急转现象对于区域农业生产以及夏季防汛抗旱等工作具有重要意义。根据山西省16个气象站1961-2013年5-8月逐月降水资料，计算了夏季旱涝急转指数（DFAI），采用线性倾向法、M-K突变检验以及反距离权重空间插值法等方法分析了夏季旱涝急转事件的时空演变特征。结果表明：在年代际变化上，山西省夏季DFAI呈现不显著下降趋势，在1970年代前后分别以旱转涝和涝转旱事件为主；DFAI强度呈不显著下降趋势，旱涝转换强度总体减弱。DFAI在5-6和7-8月的正/负值（负/正值）变化表示夏季降水的涝转旱（旱转涝）特征。DFAI强度分别在1978和2005年发生突变。典型旱转涝年（1976年）DFAI的高值区主要分布在山西东北部、中东部及西南部地区，而典型涝转旱年（2002年）DFAI绝对值的高值区则主要分布在山西省中部地区；DFAI变化率在空间分布上具有显著的南北差异。旱转涝事件主要分布在山西东北部、中西部以及西南部地区，而涝转旱事件在东北-西南方向上总体表现为多-少-多的变化特点。

关键词: 山西省, 旱涝急转, 时空演变, 突变

Abstract:

The research on abrupt alternation of drought and flood is of important significance to regional agricultural production and the campaigns of flood control and drought relief in summer. Summer drought-flood abrupt alternation index (DFAI) is calculated based on the data of monthly precipitations in the summers of 1961-2013 recorded in the 16 weather stations in Shanxi Province. Spatio-temporal variation of the abrupt alternations of drought and flood is characterized through Linear Tend Analysis, Mann-Kendall Test and Inverse Distance Weighted Interpolation (IDW) of the data. Results show as follows: (1) The overall variation of DFAI in Shanxi Province during the period presented an insignificant declining trend. The events of abrupt shift from flood to drought or vice versa occurred mainly around the 1970s, and during that period of years DFAI intensity also exhibited an insignificant declining trend which means the events of drought-flood abrupt alternation decreased in intensity; (2) DFAI is an index that reflects changes in precipitation in the summer periods from May to June and from July to August in Shanxi Province. The positive/negative values or negative/positive values of DFAI during the periods of May-June and July-August indicated shift from flood to drought or vice versa during the summer periods; (3) DFAI and DFAI intensity experienced abrupt change in 1978 and 2005, respectively. (4) In 1976, a typical year of abrupt shift from drought to flood, the regions high in DFAI were found in the northeastern, central eastern and southwestern parts of Shanxi Province, while in 2002, a typical year of abrupt shift from flood to drought, and the regions high in absolute DFAI value were in the central part of Shanxi Province. Spatially, the variation of DFAI exhibited a sharp difference between north and south of the Province. (5) The events of abrupt shift from drought to flood occurred mainly in the northeast, middle-west and southwest of Shanxi Province, while those from flood to drought displayed a valley-like curve along a belt from the northeast to the southwest of Shanxi Province.

Key words: Shanxi Province, drought-flood abrupt alternation, spatio-temporal change, abrupt change

中图分类号:

X16
P467

刘宇峰, 原志华, 郭玲霞, 孔伟, 张莉, 吴林. 1961-2013年山西省夏季旱涝急转时空演变特征[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2017, 33(4): 332-340.

LIU Yu-feng, YUAN Zhi-hua, GUO Ling-xia, KONG Wei, ZHANG Li, WU Lin. Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Variation of Abrupt Alternation of Drought and Flood in Shanxi Province During Summers in 1961-2013[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2017, 33(4): 332-340.

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1961-2013年山西省夏季旱涝急转时空演变特征

Characteristics of Spatio-Temporal Variation of Abrupt Alternation of Drought and Flood in Shanxi Province During Summers in 1961-2013

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