松花湖地区日总辐射计算模型的参数估算

doi:10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2017.05.013

Abstract

Abstract:

Lack of daily total solar radiation (DTSR) data for the Lake Songhua Region leaves a blank in the research on DTSR models for the region. Consequently, an attempt to estimate parameters in the DTSR model for the region based on hours of sunshine was taken. On the basis of generalization of methods and equations used currently for calculate of DTSR based on hours of sunshine, the 1961-2000 data of DTSR and daily number of sunshine hours recorded at Changchun and Yanji Stations were cited for calculation of parameters, using the generalized pattern search algorithm. The calculated parameters were then validated with the 2001-2012 data of DTSR and number of sunshine hours from the same cities. Verification demonstrates that the DTSR model performed well with fitting values being quite approximate to the observed values. The fitting was 0.93 and 0.94 in Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) coefficient and 22.39 and 19.53 W·m^-2 in Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), respectively, at Changchun and Yanji. On such a basis, two empirical parameters, a_s and b_s for DTSR were figured out to be 0.164 34 and 0.591 02, respectively by regression. In view of the geographical location of the Lake Songhua Region, the mean of a_s and b_s could be used as the empirical parameter of calculation of DTSR of the region. Analysis of the DTSR and hours of sunshine in the Lake Songhua Region reveals that DTSR is positively related to hours of sunshine at both multi-year and annual scales, DTSR in the Lake Songhua Region has been on a declining trend in the past 50 years and the change was lower in 1982-2010 than in other years. The index of hours of sunshine followed a similar trend.

Key words: daily total solar radiation, hours of sunshine, model, Lake Songhua

CLC Number:

P422.1
X16

QIU Min, CHEN Ming-yuan, LUO Lian-cong, LI Hui-yun, DAI Shu-jun. Estimation of Parameters in Daily Total Solar Radiation Model for Lake Songhua Region[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2017, 33(5): 474-480.

References

[1] 李晓文,李维亮,周秀骥.中国近30年太阳辐射状况研究[J].应用气象学报,1998,9(1):24-31.[LI Xiao-wen,LI Wei-liang,ZHOU Xiu-ji.Analysis of the Solar Radiation Variation of China in Recent 30 Years[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,1998,9(1):24-31.]
[2] 孙敬松,周广胜.散射辐射测量及其对陆地生态系统生产力影响的研究进展[J].植物生态学报,2010,34(4):452-461.[SUN Jing-song,ZHOU Guang-sheng.Review of Advances in Measurements and Effects of Diffuse Radiation on Terrestrial Ecosystem Productivity[J].Chinese Journal of Plant Ecology,2010,34(4):452-461.]
[3] 陈桥,韩红娟,翟水晶,等.太湖地区太阳辐射与水温的变化特征及其对叶绿素a的影响[J].环境科学学报.2009,29(1):199-206.[CHEN Qiao,HAN Hong-juan,ZHAI Shui-jing,et al.Influence of Solar Radiation and Water Temperature on Chlorophyll-a Levels in Lake Taihu,China[J].Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae,2009,29(1):199-206.]
[4] 李秉柏,马新明,徐立华.棉花干物质积累的模拟模型与检验[J].中国农业气象,1998,19(2):20-24.[LI Bing-bai,MA Xin-ming,XU Li-hua.Simulation Model and Validation of Dry Matter Accumulation of Cotton[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,1998,19(2):20-24.]
[5] 卢嘉,陈小华,李小平.基于ELCOM-CAEDYM模型的淀山湖营养物投入响应关系的模拟[J].湖泊科学,2011,23(3):366-374.[LU Jia,CHEN Xiao-hua,LI Xiao-ping.Simulation of the Response of Algal Growth to Nutrients Input in Lake Dianshan Based on ELCOM-CAEDYM Model[J].Journal of Lake Sciences,2011,23(3):366-374.]
[6] 王长友,于洋,孙运坤,等.基于ELCOM-CAEDYM模型的太湖蓝藻水华早期预测探讨[J].中国环境科学,2013,33(3):491-502.[WANG Chang-you,YU Yang,SUN Yun-kun,et al.The Discussion of the Early Forecasting of Cyanobacteria Bloom in the Lake Taihu Based on ELCOM-CAEDYM Model[J].China Environmental Science,2013,33(3):491-502.]
[7] 陈黎明,钱新,张玉超,等.基于DYRESM-CAEDYM模型的太湖污染控制效果评估[J].中国科技论文在线,2009,4(5):373-378.[CHEN Li-ming,QIAN Xin,ZHANG Yu-chao,et al.Evaluation of Taihu Lake's Pollution Control Based on DYRESM-CAEDYM Model[J].Science Paper Online,2009,4(5):373-378.]
[8] 曲辉辉,赵慧颖,宫丽娟,等.大兴安岭北部典型地区近300 a气候资料反演[J].生态与农村环境学报,2016,32(3),439-444.[QU Hui-hui,ZHAO Hui-ying,GONG Li-juan,et al.Inversion of Climate Date of the Past 300 Years of Region Typical of the Northern Daxing'anling Range[J].Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment,2016,32(3):439-444.]
[9] 戴淑君,罗潋葱,李慧赟,等.利用云量估算南京地区日总辐射方法的研究[J].资源科学,2013,35(6):1285-1291.[DAI Shu-jun,LUO Lian-cong,LI Hui-yun,et al.Estimation of Daily Solar Radiation in Nanjing Using Total Cloud[J].Resources Science,2013,35(6):1285-1291.]
[10] 王举,姚华栋,蒋国荣,等.南海北部海区太阳辐射观测分析与计算方法研究[J].海洋与湖沼,2005,36(5):385-393.[WANG Ju,YAO Hua-dong,JIANG Guo-rong,et al.Analyses and Calculation of Solar Radiation Over Northern South China Sea[J].Oceanologia et Limnologia Sinica,2005,36(5):385-393.]
[11] 周秉荣,颜亮东,校瑞香.三江源地区太阳辐射与日照时空分布特征[J].资源科学,2012,34(11):2074-2079.[ZHOU Bing-rong,YAN Liang-dong,XIAO Run-xiang.Temporal and Spatial Distribution in Solar Radiation and Sunshine in the "Three-River-Source" Region[J].Resources Science,2012,34(11):2074-2079.]
[12] LUO L C,HAMILTON D,HAN B P.Estimation of Total Cloud Cover From Solar Radiation Observation at Lake Rotorua,New Zealand[J].Solar Energy,2010,84(3):501-506.
[13] 张运林,秦伯强,陈伟民,等.太湖无锡地区太阳总辐射的气候学计算及特征分析[J].应用气象学报,2003,14(3):339-347.[ZHANG Yun-lin,QIN Bo-qiang,CHEN Wei-min,et al.Climatological Calculation and Characteristic Analysis of Global Radiation Over Wuxi Region[J].Journal of Applied Meteorological Science,2003,14(3):339-347.]
[14] 赵军,李旺平,李飞.黄土高原太阳总辐射气候学计算及特征分析[J].干旱区研究,2008,25(1):53-58.[ZHAO Jun,LI Wang-ping,LI Fei.Climatological Calculation and Analysis of Global Solar Radiation in the Loess Plateau[J].Arid Zone Research,2008,25(1):53-58.]
[15] 孙义利,孙瑶.有关松花湖富营养化问题的探讨[J].三峡环境与生态,2013,35(4):44-47.[SUN Yi-li,SUN Yao.Discussion on Eutrophication of Songhua Lake[J].Environment and Ecology in the Three Gorges,2013,35(4):44-47.]
[16] PENMAN H L.Natural Evaporation From Open Water,Hare Soil and Grass[J].Proceedings of the Royal Society of London(Series A:Mathematical and Physical Sciences),1948,193(1032):120-145.
[17] ALLEN R G,RERRA L S,RAESD,et al.Crop Evapotranspiration-Guidelines for Computing Crop Water Requirements-FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56:Crop Evapotranspiration[R].Rome,Italy:Natural Resources Management and Environment Department,1998:49.
[18] TORCZON V.On the Convergence of Pattern Search Algorithms[J].Siam Journal on Optimization,1997,7(1):1-25.
[19] LI H Y,ZHANG Y Q,VAZE J,et al.Separating Effects of Vegetation Change and Climate Variability Using Hydrological Modelling and Sensitivity-Based Approaches[J].Journal of Hydrology,2012,420/421:403-418.
[20] 刘丽英.广义模式搜索算法的一些研究[D].大连:大连理工大学,2006.[LIU Li-ying.Some Studies of Generalized Pattern Search Algorithms[D].Dalian:Dalian University of Technology,2006.]
[21] NASH J E,SUTCLIFFE J V.River Flow Forecasting Through Conceptual Models,Part Ⅰ:A Discussion of Principles[J].Journal of Hydrology,1970,10(3):282-290.
[22] YORUKOGLU M,CELIK A N.A Critical Review on the Estimation of Daily Global Solar Radiation From Sunshine Duration[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2006,47(15/16):2441-2450.
[23] 张雪芬,陈东,付祥健,等.河南省近40年太阳辐射变化规律及其成因探讨[J].气象,1999,25(3):21-25.[ZHANG Xue-fen,CHEN Dong,FU Xiang-jian,et al.Analysis of the Regularity and Forming Reasons of the Solar Radiation Variation of Henan in Recent 40 Years[J].Meteorological Monthly,1999,25(3):21-25.]
[24] 徐群.近29年冬季我国太阳辐射的显著变化[J].中国科学(B辑),1990(10):1112-1120.[XU Qun.The Significant Changes of the Solar Radiation in Winter Over Recent 29 Years in China[J].Science in China(Series B),1990(10):1112-1120.]
[25] 邹继颖,刘辉.松花湖春季水质及浮游植物群落结构的研究[J].中国农村水利水电,2014(6):47-49.[ZOU Ji-ying,LIU Hui.Water Quality and Community Structure in Spring of Phytoplankton in Songhua Lake[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower,2014(6):47-49.]
[26] 周晓宇,张新宜,崔妍,等.1961-2009年东北地区日照时数变化特征[J].气象与环境学报,2013,29(5):112-120.[ZHOU Xiao-yu,ZHANG Xin-yi,CUI Yan,et al.The Characteristics of Sunshine Duration From 1961 to 2009 in Northeast China[J].Journal of Meteorology and Environment,2013,29(5):112-120.]
[27] 顾正强,巩远发,龚强,等.东北区域水汽收支的变化及其与降水的关系[J].成都信息工程学院学报,2013,28(6):651-658.[GU Zhen-qiang,GONG Yuan-fa,GONG Qiang,et al.The Variation Features of Moisture Budgets and Its Relationship With Precipitation Over the Northeast Area China[J].Journal of Chendu University of Information Technology,2013,28(6):651-658.]
[28] 买苗,曾燕,邱新法,等.黄河流域近40年日照百分率的气候变化特征[J].气象,2006,32(5):62-66.[MAI Miao,ZENG Yan,QIU Xin-fa,et al.Variation of Sunshine Percentage for the Last 40 Years in the Yellow River Basin[J].Meteorological Monthly,2006,32(5):62-66.]
[29] 谢今范,张婷,张梦远,等.近50 a东北地区地面太阳辐射变化及原因分析[J].太阳能学报,2012,33(12):2127-2134.[XIE Jin-fan,ZHANG Ting,ZHANG Meng-yuan,et al.Change and Reason Analysis of Ground Solar Radiation in Northeast China Over Recent 50 Years[J].Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2012,33(12):2127-2134.]
[30] ALMOROX J,HONTORIA C.Global Solar Radiation Estimation Using Sunshine Duration in Spain[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2004,45(9/10):1529-1535.
[31] 左大康,王懿贤,陈建绥.中国地区太阳总辐射的空间分布特征[J].气象学报,1963,33(1):78-95.[ZUO Da-kang,WANG Yi-xian,CHEN Jian-sui.Characteristics of the Distribution of Total Radiation in China[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,1963,33(1):78-95.]
[32] 童成立,张文菊,汤阳,等.逐日太阳辐射的模拟计算[J].中国农业气象,2005,26(3):165-169.[TONG Cheng-li,ZHANG Wen-ju,TANG Yang,et al.Estimation of Daily Solar Radiation in China[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,2005,26(3):165-169.]
[33] 赵东,罗勇,高歌,等.我国近50年太阳直接辐射资源基本特征及其变化[J].太阳能学报,2009,30(7):946-952.[ZHAO Dong,LUO Yong,GAO Ge,et al.Essential Characteristics of Solar Direct Radiation Over Recent 50 Years in China[J].Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2009,30(7):946-952.]

Estimation of Parameters in Daily Total Solar Radiation Model for Lake Songhua Region

PDF (PC)

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Recommended Articles

Metrics

Comments

[1]	Bing-shuai, ZOU Chang-xin, GAO Ji-xi, HE Ping. Review on Methodology and Application of Ecological Security Assessment [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(8): 953-963.
[2]	SUN Qian-lu. Study on the Influencing Factors of the Willingness of Tibetan Farmer's Households to Participate in the Improvement of Rural Living Environment [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(8): 976-985.
[3]	CHEN De-quan, LAN Ze-ying, LI Wei-qi. Construction of Land Ecological Security in Guangdong Province From the Perspective of Ecological Demand [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(7): 826-835.
[4]	SHANG Qing-bin, DUAN Yong-hong, XU Li-shuai, DUAN Hao-ran, HE Jia-lin, CHENG Rong, WU Meng, LIU Jia-liang. Spatial Distribution and Genesis of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) in the Surface Soil in China [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(7): 917-924.
[5]	HU Wen, WANG Ji, LI Chun-hua, YE Chun, WEI Wei-wei. The Application and Review of Shallow Lake Model: PCLake [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(6): 681-688.
[6]	ZHENG Tian-tian, ZHAO Xiao-qing, LU Fei-fei, PU Jun-wei, MIAO Pei-pei. Analysis on the Driving Force of Farming Non-Point Source Pollution in the Xingyun Lake Basin of Yunan Province [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(6): 730-737.
[7]	JIAN Yu-qing, CHEN Ying-yi, XIE Yuan-yuan, GONG Jian-zhou. Dynamic Analysis of the Spatial Structure and Evolution Model of Rural Settlement in Guangdong Province From 1980 to 2015 [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(6): 698-706.
[8]	GU Yang-yang, HUANG Xian-feng, ZOU Chang-xin, YE Xin, LIN Nai-feng, ZHANG Wei-ming. Monitoring Habitat Quality Changes in Yuanjiangyuan Nature Reserve Based on Landsat Images [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(6): 764-772.
[9]	XIONG Shan, ZHANG Hai-jiang, LI Cheng. A Method for Rapid Survey and Analysis in Estimating Amphibian Population [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(6): 809-816.
[10]	ZHANG Ya-jie, NIU Hai-shan. Research Development on Generation Mechanism and Related Models of N₂O Emissions From Agricultural Soil [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(5): 554-562.
[11]	HAN Fang-yu, ZHANG Jun-biao, CHENG Lin-lin, TONG Qing-meng, LIU Yong. Impact of Climate Change on Rice Yield and Its Regional Heterogeneity in China [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(3): 283-289.
[12]	HUANG Xin, CAO Xue-zhang, ZHANG Ming, ZOU Xian. Construction of Landscape Ecological Security Pattern of Shengli Coalfield in Inner Mongolia Based on the Minimum Cumulative Resistance Model [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(1): 55-62.
[13]	XU Hui-min, QIN Wei-hua, LI Zhong-lin, GU Qi, DAI Xiao-hu. Upgrading Semi-Continuous Mesophilic Anaerobic Digestion of Waste Activated Sludge by Combined Ultrasonic, Thermo-Alkaline Pretreatment [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2019, 35(1): 91-97.
[14]	SHEN Shi-zhou, ZHANG Ke-qiang, WANG Feng, LAI Rui-te, YAN Qing, YANG Han-bo. The Assessment Method of Nitrate Nitrogen Leaching and Ammonia Volatilization of Winter Wheat-Summer Maize Rotation in North China Plain Based on RZWQM Model [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2018, 34(9): 769-775.
[15]	GUO Shan-chuan, TANG Ao, LI Xiao-shun, BIAN Zheng-fu, HOU Hu-ping, NI Heng. Measurement of Land Damage Based on Active and Passive Remote Sensing in Wuhai Mining Area [J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2018, 34(8): 678-685.