生态与农村环境学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (6): 853-858.doi: 10.11934/j.issn.1673-4831.2015.06.009

• 区域环境与发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

珠三角地区PM2.5浓度空间自相关分析

昌晶亮,余洪,罗伟伟   

  1. 湖南城市学院商学院
  • 收稿日期:2015-08-12 修回日期:2015-10-12 出版日期:2015-11-25 发布日期:2015-11-26
  • 通讯作者: 昌晶亮 E-mail:21665601@qq.com
  • 作者简介:昌晶亮(1982—),女,湖南益阳人,讲师,硕士,主要研究方向为生态旅游与环境保护。E-mail: 21665601@qq.com
  • 基金资助:

    湖南省哲学社会科学基金(12JD11);湖南省教育厅项目(12C0567)

Spatial Autocorrelation Analysis of PM2.5 Concentration in the Pearl River Delta.

CHANG Jing-liang,YU Hong,LUO Wei-wei   

  1. Business School, Hunan City University
  • Received:2015-08-12 Revised:2015-10-12 Online:2015-11-25 Published:2015-11-26

摘要:

PM2.5空间变异规律是揭示污染机制的重要基础。研究获取珠三角地区共57个监测点2013年全年PM 2.5小时均值监测数据,汇总后得到监测点季度均值和年均值,采用空间自相关分析理论研究不同季节PM2.5浓度空间自相关性的强弱与集聚模式。结果显示,珠三角地区PM2.5污染季节差异显著,冬季PM2.5浓度均值是夏季的3倍。空间自相关分析表明,90 km范围内,珠三角PM2.5浓度均存在正空间自相关性且尺度效应明显,空间自相关性存在城市尺度和区域尺度2次递减;春、夏、秋、冬季PM2.5浓度全局Moran′s I指数分别为0.542、0.752、0.602和0.628,空间自相关性由高到低依次为夏、冬、秋和春季;珠三角PM2.5浓度集聚模式明显,深圳等沿海地区表现为PM2.5浓度低-低集聚(L-L),而离海岸稍远的广州等地区为高-高集聚(H-H)区域。

关键词: 大气污染, PM2.5, 空间自相关, 空间集聚, 珠三角地区

Abstract:

PM2.5 has been the primary air pollutant in many cities of China and an expanding public concern as well because of its severe impacts on human health and visibility. The knowledge of spatial variability of PM2.5 is of great importance to revelation of the mechanism of PM2.5  pollution. The monitoring data of hourly mean PM2.5  concentration collected at the 57 monitoring posts in the Pearl River Delta region throughout the year of 2013 were pooled and analyzed and seasonal and annual means at each monitoring post were forked out. The theory of spatial autocorrelation analysis was adopted in analyzing strength of the spatial autocorrelation and spatial clustering patterns of PM2.5  concentration relative to season. Results show that in the Pearl River Delta,PM2.5  pollution varied sharply from season to season and its mean value in winter was 3 times as high as that in summer. Spatial autocorrelation analysis shows that (1) within the radius of 90 km, existed positive spatial autocorrelation of PM2.5  concentration and its scale effect was apparent in the Delta, which indicates that spatial autocorrelation declined two times at the city scale and then the regional scale; and (2) the global Moran′s I of PM2.5 concentration varied with season, being 0.542, 0.752, 0.602 and 0.628, in spring, summer, autumn and winter respectively, which demonstrates that spatial autocorrelation varied, following an order of  summer> winter > autumn> spring. The spatial clustering pattern of PM2.5 concentration shows that in Shenzhen and the coastal areas PM2.5  concentration appeared to be in a low-ow clustering pattern (L-L), while cities or areas quite far away from the coast, like Guangzhou, in a high-high clustering pattern (H-H).

Key words: air pollution, PM2.5, spatial autocorrelation, spatial cluster, the Pearl River Delta