近60a来秦岭山地≥10℃积温时空演变及亚热带-暖温带界线问题

doi:10.19741/j.issn.1673-4831.2021.0433

生态与农村环境学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (6): 755-764.doi: 10.19741/j.issn.1673-4831.2021.0433

近60a来秦岭山地≥10℃积温时空演变及亚热带-暖温带界线问题

张善红^1,2, 白怡², 宋连环³, 展晓玮⁴, 屈妍⁴, 梁佳⁵

1. 西北大学城市与环境学院, 陕西西安 710127;
2. 商洛学院城乡规划与建筑工程学院, 陕西商洛 726000;
3. 山东省济宁市汶上县第一中学, 山东济宁 272500;
4. 商洛市气象局, 陕西商洛 726000;
5. 陕西省气象服务中心, 陕西西安 710014

收稿日期:2021-07-12 出版日期:2022-06-25 发布日期:2022-06-24
通讯作者: 梁佳,E-mail:642360068@qq.com E-mail:642360068@qq.com
作者简介:张善红(1983-),女,山东日照人,讲师,博士,主要从事全球变化生态学研究。E-mail:feiyang84120@126.com
基金资助:
陕西省大学生创新训练项目(S202011396034);商洛市气候适应型城市重点实验室开放研究基金(SLSYS2019019)

Assessing the Boundary Between Subtropical and Warm Temperate Zones and the Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Active Accumulated Temperature of ≥10 ℃ in the Qinling Mountains from 1960 to 2019

ZHANG Shan-hong^1,2, BAI Yi², SONG Lian-huan³, ZHAN Xiao-wei⁴, QU Yan⁴, LIANG Jia⁵

1. School of Urban and Environment, Northwest University, Xi'an 710127, China;
2. College of Urban, Rural Planning and Architectural Engineering, Shangluo University, Shangluo 726000, China;
3. Wenshang No.1 Middle School of Jining City in Shandong Province, Jining 272500, China;
4. Shangluo Meteorological Bureau, Shangluo 726000, China;
5. Shaanxi Meteorogical Service Center, Xi'an 710014, China

Received:2021-07-12 Online:2022-06-25 Published:2022-06-24

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 选用秦岭及其周边74个气象站点的逐日气温实测数据,采用M-K检验、Anusplin等研究方法,对1960-2019年秦岭山地≥10 ℃积温的时空变化以及亚热带-暖温带的界线变化进行分析。结果表明:(1)从时间尺度上看,秦岭山地≥10 ℃积温呈现增加的趋势,其变化率为71.72 ℃·(10 a)^-1。＞1 000~2 000和＞2 000~3 000 ℃积温段区域面积占比逐年减少,＞3 000~4 000和>4 000 ℃积温段区域面积占比逐年增加;≤1 000 ℃积温段区域面积占比呈先增加后减少的变化趋势。(2)从空间尺度上看,秦岭山地≥10 ℃积温在南北方向表现出中间低周边高、东多西少、南多北少,由低海拔向高海拔逐渐减少的规律;研究区积温高值区面积增加,积温低值区面积减少;秦岭山地≥10 ℃积温增加趋势显著,其中秦岭北坡增加最为明显。(3)对比阶段Ⅰ(1960-1989年)和阶段Ⅱ(1990-2019年),亚热带-暖温带分界线整体向高海拔攀升和向高纬度北移,秦岭以北"跨越式"进入了亚热带气候格局,随着气候变暖,秦岭亚热带北界可能会跨越秦岭山脉。

关键词: ≥10℃积温, Anusplin, 亚热带-暖温带分界线, 秦岭山地

Abstract: The changes of the boundary between subtropical and warm temperate zones and the spatiotemporal evolution of the actively accumulated temperature of ≥10 ℃ (AAT10) in the Qinling Mountains from 1960 to 2019 was analyzed by using the sliding mean temperature over five days, the Mann-Kendall test, and the Anusplin method based on the daily average temperature data from 74 meteorological stations in and around the Qinling Mountains (QMs). The results show that (1) at the temporal scale, the AAT10 had increased at a rate of 71.72 ℃·(10 a)^-1 in the QMs since 1960. The areas of 1 0004 000 ℃ and 3 0004 000 ℃ and 2 000

Key words: actively accumulated temperature ≥10 ℃ (AAT10), Anusplin, boundary between subtropical and warm temperate zones, Qinling Mountains

中图分类号:

张善红, 白怡, 宋连环, 展晓玮, 屈妍, 梁佳. 近60a来秦岭山地≥10℃积温时空演变及亚热带-暖温带界线问题[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2022, 38(6): 755-764.

ZHANG Shan-hong, BAI Yi, SONG Lian-huan, ZHAN Xiao-wei, QU Yan, LIANG Jia. Assessing the Boundary Between Subtropical and Warm Temperate Zones and the Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Active Accumulated Temperature of ≥10 ℃ in the Qinling Mountains from 1960 to 2019[J]. Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment, 2022, 38(6): 755-764.

参考文献 41

[1]	IPCC.Summary for Policymakers of Climate Change:The Physical Science Basis:Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[Z].Cambridge,UK:Cambridge University Press,2021.
[2]	胡琦,潘学标,邵长秀,等.1961-2010年中国农业热量资源分布和变化特征[J].中国农业气象,2014,35(2):119-127.[HU Qi,PAN Xue-biao,SHAO Chang-xiu,et al.Distribution and Variation of China Agricultural Heat Resources in 1961-2010[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,2014,35(2):119-127.]
[3]	刘少华,严登华,翁白莎,等.近50a中国 ≥ 10℃有效积温时空演变[J].干旱区研究,2013,30(4):689-696.[LIU Shao-hua,YAN Deng-hua,WENG Bai-sha,et al.Spatiotemporal Evolution of Effective Accumulated Temperature ≥ 10℃ in China in Recent 50 Years[J].Arid Zone Research,2013,30(4):689-696.]
[4]	刘实,王勇,缪启龙,等.近50年东北地区热量资源变化特征[J].应用气象学报,2010,21(3):266-278.[LIU Shi,WANG Yong,MIAO Qi-long,et al.Variation Characteristics of Thermal Resources in Northeast China in Recent 50 Years[J].Journal of Applied Meteorological Science,2010,21(3):266-278.]
[5]	邱新法,王喆,曾燕,等.1960-2013年中国 ≥ 10℃积温时空变化特征及其主导因素分析[J].江苏农业科学,2017,45(2):220-225.[QIU Xin-fa,WANG Zhe,ZENG Yan,et al.China in 1960-2013 or Greater Spatial and Temporal Variation Characteristics of 10℃ Accumulated Temperature and the Dominant Factors Analysis[J].Jiangsu Agricultural Sciences,2017,45(2):220-225.]
[6]	李帅,张勃,马彬,等.基于格点数据的中国1961-2016年 ≥ 5℃、≥ 10℃有效积温时空演变[J].自然资源学报,2020,35(5):1216-1227.[LI Shuai,ZHANG Bo,MA Bin,et al.Spatiotemporal Evolution of Effective Accumulated Temperatures of ≥ 5℃ and ≥ 10℃ Based on Grid Data in China from 1961 to 2016[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2020,35(5):1216-1227.]
[7]	缪启龙,丁园圆,王勇.气候变暖对中国亚热带北界位置的影响[J].地理研究,2009,28(3):634-642.[MIAO Qi-long,DING Yuan-yuan,WANG Yong.Impact of Climate Warming on the Northern Boundary of Sub-Tropical Zone of China[J].Geographical Research,2009,28(3):634-642.]
[8]	刘勤,严昌荣,何文清,等.黄河流域近40a积温动态变化研究[J].自然资源学报,2009,24(1):147-153.[LIU Qin,YAN Chang-rong,HE Wen-qing,et al.Dynamic Variation of Accumulated Temperature Data in Recent 40 Years in the Yellow River Basin[J].Journal of Natural Resources,2009,24(1):147-153.]
[9]	王涛,沈渭寿,林乃峰,等.长江流域近50 a ≥ 0℃积温变化特征及农业适应对策[J].生态与农村环境学报,2015,31(1):22-29.[WANG Tao,SHEN Wei-shou,LIN Nai-feng,et al.Changes in ≥ 0℃ Accumulated Temperature and Agricultural Adaptative Strategies in the Yangtze River Basin in Recent 50 Years[J].Journal of Ecology and Rural Environment,2015,31(1):22-29.]
[10]	孟艳灵,殷淑燕,杨锋,等.晋陕蒙地区 ≥ 10℃积温的时空变化特征[J].中国农业气象,2016,37(6):615-622.[MENG Yan-ling,YIN Shu-yan,YANG Feng,et al.Spatial and Temporal Distribution of Accumulated Temperature above 10℃ in Shanxi-Shaanxi-Inner Mongolia Region[J].Chinese Journal of Agrometeorology,2016,37(6):615-622.]
[11]	李硕,沈彦俊.气候变暖对西北干旱区农业热量资源变化的影响[J].中国生态农业学报,2013,21(2):227-235.[LI Shuo,SHEN Yan-jun.Impact of Climate Warming on Temperature and Heat Resource in Arid Northwest China[J].Chinese Journal of Eco-Agriculture,2013,21(2):227-235.]
[12]	戴声佩,李海亮,罗红霞,等.基于多元线性回归模型的华南地区 ≥ 10℃积温空间模拟研究[J].热带农业科学,2014,34(6):54-59.[DAI Sheng-pei,LI Hai-liang,LUO Hong-xia,et al.Spatial Simulation of AAT10(Active Accumulated Temperature ≥ 10℃) Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model[J].Chinese Journal of Tropical Agriculture,2014,34(6):54-59.]
[13]	普宗朝,张山清,李景林,等.近50 a新疆 ≥ 0℃持续日数和积温时空变化[J].干旱区研究,2013,30(5):781-788.[PU Zong-chao,ZHANG Shan-qing,LI Jing-lin,et al.Spatiotemporal Change of Duration and Accumulated Temperature of Temperature ≥ 0℃ in Xinjiang in Recent 50 Years[J].Arid Zone Research,2013,30(5):781-788.]
[14]	胡燕宇,延军平,薛然尹,等.大东北地区稳定通过10℃热量条件的时空变化特征[J].干旱区研究,2014,31(2):279-284.[HU Yan-yu,YAN Jun-ping,XUE Ran-yin,et al.Spatiotemporal Change of Heat Resources at Temperature over 10℃ in Northeast China[J].Arid Zone Research,2014,31(2):279-284.]
[15]	刘宪锋,潘耀忠,朱秀芳,等.2000-2014年秦巴山区植被覆盖时空变化特征及其归因[J].地理学报,2015,70(5):705-716.[LIU Xian-feng,PAN Yao-zhong,ZHU Xiu-fang,et al.Spatiotemporal Variation of Vegetation Coverage in Qinling-Daba Mountains in Relation to Environmental Factors[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2015,70(5):705-716.]
[16]	赵芳,张百平,朱连奇,等.秦巴山地垂直带谱结构的空间分异与暖温带-亚热带界线问题[J].地理学报,2019,74(5):889-901.[ZHAO Fang,ZHANG Bai-ping,ZHU Lian-qi,et al.Spectra Structures of Altitudinal Belts and Their Significance for Determining the Boundary between Warm Temperate and Subtropical Zones in the Qinling-Daba Mountains[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2019,74(5):889-901.]
[17]	赵芳,张久阳,刘思远,等.秦巴山地NPP及对气候变化响应的多维地带性与暖温带-亚热带界线[J].生态学报,2021,41(1):57-68.[ZHAO Fang,ZHANG Jiu-yang,LIU Si-yuan,et al.Assessing the Dividing Line between Warm Temperate and Subtropical Zones Based on the Zonality Discussion on Multi-Dimensional Response of Net Primary Productivity to Climate Change in the Qinling-Daba Mountains[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2021,41(1):57-68.]
[18]	姚永慧,寇志翔,胡宇凡,等.秦巴山区马尾松林和油松林的空间分布及亚热带与暖温带界线划分[J].地理学报,2020,75(11):2298-2306.[YAO Yong-hui,KOU Zhi-xiang,HU Yu-fan,et al.Spatial Distribution Patterns of Pinus Tabulaeformis Forest and Pinus Massoniana Forest in Qinling-Daba Mountains and the Boundary of Subtropical and Warm Temperate Zones[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2020,75(11):2298-2306.]
[19]	张兴航,张百平,王晶,等.中国南北过渡带东段样带植被序列与气候分界问题[J].地理学报,2021,76(1):30-43.[ZHANG Xing-hang,ZHANG Bai-ping,WANG Jing,et al.North-South Transect Series in Vegetation of Eastern China's North-South Transitional Zone and Their Significance for Determining Climate Dividing Line[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2021,76(1):30-43.]
[20]	白红英.秦岭山地森林植被对环境变化的响应[M].北京:科学出版社,2014:1-2.
[21]	章金城,周文佐.2006-2015年秦巴山区植被光合有效辐射吸收比例的时空变化特征[J].生态学杂志,2019,38(5):1453-1463.[ZHANG Jin-cheng,ZHOU Wen-zuo.Spatial-Temporal Changes of Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation in Qinling-Daba Mountains from 2006 to 2015[J].Chinese Journal of Ecology,2019,38(5):1453-1463.]
[22]	张雪芹,孙杨,郑度,等.中国干旱区温度带界线对气候变暖的响应[J].地理学报,2011,66(9):1166-1178.[ZHANG Xue-qin,SUN Yang,ZHENG Du,et al.Responses of Temperature Zone Boundaries in the Arid Region of China to Climatic Warming[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2011,66(9):1166-1178.]
[23]	刘正佳,于兴修,王丝丝,等.薄盘光滑样条插值中三种协变量方法的降水量插值精度比较[J].地理科学进展,2012,31(1):56-62.[LIU Zheng-jia,YU Xing-xiu,WANG Si-si,et al.Comparative Analysis of Three Covariates Methods in Thin-Plate Smoothing Splines for Interpolating Precipitation[J].Progress in Geography,2012,31(1):56-62.]
[24]	刘志红,MCVicar T M R,LI Ling-tao,等.基于ANUSPLIN的时间序列气象要素空间插值[J].西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版),2008,36(10):227-234.[LIU Zhi-hong,MCVICAR T M R,LI Ling-tao,et al.Interpolation for Time Series of Meteorological Variables Using ANUSPLIN[J].Journal of Northwest A & F University (Natural Science Edition),2008,36(10):227-234.]
[25]	BATES D M,LINDSTROM M J,WAHBA G,et al.Gcvpack-Routines for Generalized Cross Validation[J].Communications in Statistics-Simulation and Computation,1987,16(1):263-297.
[26]	HURST H E.Long-Term Storage Capacity of Reservoirs[J].Transactions of the American Society of Civil Engineers,1951,116(1):770-799.
[27]	冯新灵,罗隆诚,冯自立.中国近50年降水变化趋势及突变的Hurst指数试验[J].干旱区地理,2009,32(6):859-866.[FENG Xin-ling,LUO Long-cheng,FENG Zi-li.Hurst Index Experiment on Precipitation Change Trend and Mutation of China in the near 50 Years[J].Arid Land Geography,2009,32(6):859-866.]
[28]	ROUVRAY D H.The Geometry of Nature[J].Endeavour,1996,20(2):79-85.
[29]	江田汉,邓莲堂.Hurst指数估计中存在的若干问题:以在气候变化研究中的应用为例[J].地理科学,2004,24(2):177-182.[JIANG Tian-han,DENG Lian-tang.Some Problems in Estimating a Hurst Exponent:A Case Study of Applicatings to Climatic Change[J].Scientia Geographica Sinica,2004,24(2):177-182.]
[30]	刘燕,胡安焱.渭河流域近50年降水特征变化及其对水资源的影响[J].干旱区资源与环境,2006,20(1):85-87.[LIU Yan,HU An-yan.Changes of Precipitation Characters along Weihe Basin in 50 Years and Its Influence on Water Resources[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2006,20(1):85-87.]
[31]	时光训,丁明军.近40 a来长江流域 ≥ 10℃积温的时空变化特征[J].热带地理,2016,36(4):682-691.[SHI Guang-xun,DING Ming-jun.Spatial and Temporal Variation of ≥ 10℃ Accumulated Temperature in the Yangtze River Basin for the Past 40 Years[J].Tropical Geography,2016,36(4):682-691.]
[32]	魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M].2版.北京:气象出版社,2007:72-74.
[33]	郑景云,尹云鹤,李炳元.中国气候区划新方案[J].地理学报,2010,65(1):3-12.[ZHENG Jing-yun,YIN Yun-he,LI Bing-yuan.A New Scheme for Climate Regionalization in China[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2010,65(1):3-12.]
[34]	郑度.中国生态地理区域系统研究[M].北京:商务印书馆,2008:34-47.
[35]	吴绍洪,杨勤业,郑度.生态地理区域界线划分的指标体系[J].地理科学进展,2002,21(4):302-310.[WU Shao-hong,YANG Qin-ye,ZHENG Du.An Index System for Boundaries of Eco-Geographical Regions of China[J].Progress in Geography,2002,21(4):302-310.]
[36]	李双双,芦佳玉,延军平,等.1970-2015年秦岭南北气温时空变化及其气候分界意义[J].地理学报,2018,73(1):13-24.[LI Shuang-shuang,LU Jia-yu,YAN Jun-ping,et al.Spatiotemporal Variability of Temperature in Northern and Southern Qinling Mountains and Its Influence on Climatic Boundary[J].Acta Geographica Sinica,2018,73(1):13-24.]
[37]	MA Q Q,HUANG J G,HÄNNINEN H,et al.Climate Warming Prolongs the Time Interval between Leaf-out and Flowering in Temperate Trees:Effects of Chilling,Forcing and Photoperiod[J].Journal of Ecology,2021,109(3):1319-1330.
[38]	邓晨晖,白红英,翟丹平,等.气候变化背景下1964-2015年秦岭植物物候变化[J].生态学报,2017,37(23):7882-7893.[DENG Chen-hui,BAI Hong-ying,ZHAI Dan-ping,et al.Variation in Plant Phenology in the Qinling Mountains from 1964-2015 in the Context of Climate Change[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37(23):7882-7893.]
[39]	LIANG S F,WU W B,SUN J,et al.Climate-Mediated Dynamics of the Northern Limit of Paddy Rice in China[J].Environmental Research Letters,2021,16(6):064008.
[40]	ZHAI P M,ZHANG X B,WAN H,et al.Trends in Total Precipitation and Frequency of Daily Precipitation Extremes over China[J].Journal of Climate,2005,18(7):1096-1108.
[41]	PASCOLINI-CAMPBELL M,REAGER J T,CHANDANPURKAR H A,et al.A 10 Per Cent Increase in Global Land Evapotranspiration from 2003 to 2019[J].Nature,2021,593(7860):543-547.

近60a来秦岭山地≥10℃积温时空演变及亚热带-暖温带界线问题

Assessing the Boundary Between Subtropical and Warm Temperate Zones and the Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Active Accumulated Temperature of ≥10 ℃ in the Qinling Mountains from 1960 to 2019

RichHTML

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献 41

相关文章 13

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	韩芳玉, 张俊飚, 程琳琳, 童庆蒙, 刘勇. 气候变化对中国水稻产量及其区域差异性的影响[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2019, 35(3): 283-289.
[2]	徐泽华, 韩美, 路广, 朱继前. 山东省降雨侵蚀力与气候指数关系研究[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2018, 34(10): 880-889.
[3]	郭楠, 邵天杰, 赵景波. 内蒙古西部近60a极端气温变化[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2017, 33(6): 481-490.
[4]	刘宇峰, 原志华, 郭玲霞, 孔伟, 张莉, 吴林. 1961-2013年山西省夏季旱涝急转时空演变特征[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2017, 33(4): 332-340.
[5]	杜万光, 王成, 包红光, 王茜, 杨华, 周波. 夏季典型天气下公园绿地小气候环境及对人体舒适度的影响[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2017, 33(4): 349-356.
[6]	曲辉辉, 赵慧颖, 宫丽娟. 大兴安岭北部典型地区近300 a气候资料反演[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2016, 32(3): 439-444.
[7]	左慧婷, 沈渭寿, 李忠良, 杨姗姗. 内蒙古典型草原文化遗址地区气候变化特征[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2015, 31(2): 146-150.
[8]	李如意, 赵景波. 陕西商州近60 a极端气温变化[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2015, 31(1): 30-38.
[9]	黄太庆;马煜春;熊正琴;孔宪旺;余丰毅. 不同种植制度对稻田旱作季节CH4和N2O排放的影响[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2010, 26(6): 519-523.
[10]	郑有飞, 刘宏举, 吴荣军, 吴战平, 牛鲁燕. 贵州省NDVI变化及其与主要气候因子的相关性[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2009, 25(1): 12-17.
[11]	徐集云, 杨忠恩, 李全胜, 朱兰娟. 千岛湖流域旅游开发项目的气候评价[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 1999, 15(3): 33-35,48.
[12]	高佳佳, 杜军, 刘朝阳, 周刊社. 西藏地区主要农作物敏感区对气候变化的响应[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2019, 35(11): 1484-1489.
[13]	刘延惠, 丁访军, 侯贻菊, 舒德远, 赵文君, 崔迎春. 贵阳市图云关森林公园主要树种叶面滞尘量与叶形态结构的相关性研究[J]. 生态与农村环境学报, 2019, 35(12): 1582-1592.